The CDC will soon release new autism prevalence estimates. This much has been discussed online for some time since Disability Scoop published CDC Set To Release New Autism Numbers on March 9.
The “Canary Party” has put out a couple of press releases. One “New CDC Autism Numbers Coming Soon; Rate Increase to Over 1 in 100 Expected by The Canary Party ” and another (which appears to be submitted twice) “The Canary Party Expects CDC to Announce New Autism Rate of 1 in 88, and Believes CDC Likely to Declare “No Public Health Emergency” and “No Epidemic”” The Canary Party is an offshoot of the autism-is-caused-by vaccine organizations like SafeMinds (whose Mark Blaxill is quoted in the press releases).
Also, A-Champ sent out an email alert along similar lines.
These groups appear to be vying for media attention. By getting their press releases out before the embargo is lifted, they might be in a position to get media organizations to contact them for quotes.
It is not the most ethical way to obtain media attention. It also isn’t really that effective. One can tell this because, it didn’t work last time. Yes, multiple groups broke the embargo for the 1% prevalence estimate which came out in the journal Pediatrics in 2009. This was discussed at length here at Left Brain/Right Brain in Autism rate of 1 percent, and the embargo that wasn’t. The media discussed not the talking points of these groups, but the broken embargo. See When News Breaks On Autism, Who Gets It Out First? and Autism news raises question: When is an embargo not an embargo?
Interestingly, the Canary Party press release doesn’t mention mercury, thimerosal or vaccines. Just “The only plausible explanation for these rapid increases is a change in the environment affecting millions of American children” Which ignores a great deal of work published in the last 10 years, especially that of Prof. Peter Bearman’s group at Columbia which has quantified some of the social factors behind the increases observed.
For those who haven’t heard of the “Canary Party”, you are not alone. It is a small (under 5,000 facebook “likes”. Compare that to over 315,000 for the Democratic Party, or over 1 million likes for Autism Speaks).
Autism News Beat has also discussed the broken embargo in Embargo? What embargo?
note: I edited this article after publishing to complete an incomplete sentence in the first paragraph.