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Yet another look at CBS's view of Offit's COI's

2 Aug

Paul Offit has been much in the news and blogOsphere lately (Say, here , here and here. Dr. Offit is a vaccine researcher and vocal supporter of vaccines. This makes him a target amongst some groups, leading to a recent example of the “investigative reporting” that CBS news’ Sheryl Attkisson brings to the public.

A big question comes up as to Dr. Offit’s conflicts of interest. Ms. Attkisson’s story brings up a few. Let’s take a look. First we have the fact that Dr. Offit holds an endowed chair:

Offit holds in a $1.5 million dollar research chair at Children’s Hospital, funded by Merck. He holds the patent on an anti-diarrhea vaccine he developed with Merck, Rotateq, which has prevented thousands of hospitalizations.

OK, simple fact check: the endowed chair is $2M, with $500,000 seed money put in by Children’s Hospital of Philidelphia and the University of Pennsylvania.

Not many people have reason to know the details of what an endowed chair is. If I didn’t know better, the above quote makes it sound like the $1.5M from Merck is something akin to a grant, giving Merck some leverage on Dr. Offit. Actually, chair endowments are basically trust funds. In this case, Merck donated $1.5M to CHOP and Penn, who manage the money independent of Merck. These institutions use the proceeds of the endowment to pay for salary and research funds for the chair holder. CHOP and Penn decide who get the chair after Dr. Offit leaves or retires. It is not “His” chair, but the institutions’.

Remember that bit about “research funds”? This is money that allows a the chair holder (Dr. Offit in this case) to do independent research. He doesn’t have to apply for grants, but has a constant supply of money. Merck doesn’t have a say in how he spends those funds.

Isn’t that a good thing? Independent researchers, not beholden to funding agencies?

So, the endowed chair is not a conflict of interest at all.

What other conflict of interest did Ms. Attkisson “unearth”? Well, she noted in the above quote that Dr. Offit is a co-inventor of a patent on a Rotavirus vaccine. She goes on to state:

And future royalties for the vaccine were just sold for $182 million cash. Dr. Offit’s share of vaccine profits? Unknown.

OK, I am going to be picky on details again. Yep, I make a lot of mistakes too, but I gotta get this one out. Dr. Offit doesn’t “hold” a patent on the vaccine. He is an “inventor”. He “assigned” the rights to:

The Wistar Institute of Anatomy and Biology, Philadelphia, PA
The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA

I’ll also point out that he is listed as an inventor on about 24 patents worldwide, with about 10 on Rotavirus. Of those, there are multiple US Patents. (I’ll note that Dr. Offit does not list all his patents on his resume.)

I’m sure I’ve made the “holds patent” mistake a lot. I would venture to guess that you might even find the mistake in statements by Dr. Offit. In general, I wouldn’t think “holds patent” is a big deal. He may discuss it as “his” patent because the ideas are “his” and his co-inventors. But, in the financial sense, the patent belongs to the assignee. Initially, this was CHOP and the Wistar Institute. So, why bring it up here? Because, (a) a news reporter should be more accurate and (b) I think the language is important in this specific case.

What Dr. Offit (and his co-inventors) proabably [edit–no probably about it, hat-tip to Scwhartz for catching this] “hold” is an agreement with the assignees (CHOP and the Wistar Institute) for some share of license fees or for bonuses based on the successful licensing of the patent.

That’s how research works. The company or institution takes the risks that a researcher’s work will never pan out. They pay salary, they pay the fees to file patents. Typically, researchers’ shares in license fees are determined before research is completed, often when the researcher is hired.

But, that doesn’t sound as interesting as “He holds a patent licensed for $182 million”, does it?

I’m not going to downplay the likelihood that Dr. Offit made money off of the vaccine patents. I hope he did. But, if he were in it for the money, there were a lot of things he could have done to make more in his career once it became obvious that RotaTeq was likely to succeed. Talking about the lack of science behind the autism/vaccine connection isn’t one of them.

And that’s what this is all about, isn’t it? The implication that Dr. Offit is out for the money. People want to make the public think that he speaks out on vaccine safety because he will get more money.

Well, recall that the future royalties on RotaTeq have been sold. What does that tell us about Dr. Offit’s conflicts of interest? It tells us that the financial COI on RotaTeq is basically over!

Consider the world view of those who claim that Dr. Offit speaks out on vaccine safety to line his own pockets. How much money will Dr. Offit make on RotaTeq if he speaks out on autism issues? How much will he make on RotaTeq if he stops speaking out?

They are the same amount.

So, CBS had two potential COI’s on Dr. Offit: the endowed chair and the RotaTeq royalties. Neither of which is an active COI at this time and into the future.

So, what’s missing from the CBS example of “investigative journalism”? How about a discussion of Dr. Offit’s research grants? Where did the money come to support the research into the vaccine? We all know that CBS must have looked into that. Why nothing in the story? Could it be that there is no story there? Uh huh. The National Institutes of Health funded Dr. Offit’s research on rotavirus. Merck took over the development and testing phase of the vaccine in 1991, but the actual creation of the vaccine occurred without industry funding.

So, did Merck do “payback” and fund Dr. Offit’s research since then? (Again, CBS had to have considered that). Not that I can see. No Merck funded projects are listed in his resume with him as principal investigator.

Quite frankly, I am surprised by how few industry funded research projects Dr. Offit has been principal investigator on. Given his expertise, I would have expected much more industry funding. Much more.

That doesn’t make a good story though, does it?

So, how does Dr. Offit act when a COI is in play? Oddly, this discussion recently occurred on this blog.

Dr. Offit was a member of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 1998 to 2003. During this time he had to vote on a competitor’s rotavirus vaccine (RotaShield). (People seem to have a habit of confusing RotaShield with Dr. Offit (and team’s) RotaTeq)

So, when RotaShield, the competitor’s vaccine, came up for vote, what Did Dr. Offit say? He voted to include it in the schedule. It’s hard to spin that as something that would benefit Dr. Offit, as it clearly meant that the marketability of his own vaccine was reduced.

Rotashield was found to potentially cause intussusception. The numbers affected were too small to detect in the trial, so this concern was raised after the vaccine was added to the schedule. the ACIP took a vote on whether to remove RotaShield from the schedule–a move that clearly had potential benefits for Dr. Offit, so he abstained.

I guess that didn’t fit in the CBS story either.

Why are we talking about Dr. Offit again? We can all speculate, but the good folks at the Age of Autism answer the question for us:

Paul Offit is quickly coming under suspicion for his pharma ties and losing his usefulness as a vaccine promoter in the press.
It’s a little hard to pretend that all you do is work at Children’s Hosp. of Philadelphia, when you’ve gotten coverage on CBS and in the
Wall Street Journal because of serious conflicts of interest. Offit’s new book,
“Autism’s False Prophets: Bad Science, Risky Medicine, and the Search for a Cure,” is due out this fall but I hardly think anyone will think of him as a credible independent expert.

Anne Dachel
Media editor

Yep, they realize that “Autism’s False Prophets” is soon to hit the shelves of bookstores. I wish I had a copy now, as it must be pretty scary to the Generation Rescue crowd since they are putting on such a big preemptive strike.

I’ve already asked my library to order a copy.

By the way, I love how everyone at Age of Autism is an editor

Sullivan
LeftBrain/RightBrain Antarctic Bureau, Sports Desk.

Is this guy for real?

17 Jul

From Media Matters:

On the July 16 edition of his nationally syndicated radio show, Michael Savage claimed that autism is “[a] fraud, a racket.” Savage went on to say, “I’ll tell you what autism is. In 99 percent of the cases, it’s a brat who hasn’t been told to cut the act out. That’s what autism is. What do you mean they scream and they’re silent? They don’t have a father around to tell them, ‘Don’t act like a moron. You’ll get nowhere in life. Stop acting like a putz. Straighten up. Act like a man. Don’t sit there crying and screaming, idiot.’ ” Savage concluded, “[I]f I behaved like a fool, my father called me a fool. And he said to me, ‘Don’t behave like a fool.’ The worst thing he said — ‘Don’t behave like a fool. Don’t be anybody’s dummy. Don’t sound like an idiot. Don’t act like a girl. Don’t cry.’ That’s what I was raised with. That’s what you should raise your children with. Stop with the sensitivity training. You’re turning your son into a girl, and you’re turning your nation into a nation of losers and beaten men. That’s why we have the politicians we have.”

SAVAGE: Now, you want me to tell you my opinion on autism, since I’m not talking about autism? A fraud, a racket. For a long while, we were hearing that every minority child had asthma. Why did they sudden — why was there an asthma epidemic amongst minority children? Because I’ll tell you why: The children got extra welfare if they were disabled, and they got extra help in school. It was a money racket. Everyone went in and was told [fake cough], “When the nurse looks at you, you go [fake cough], ‘I don’t know, the dust got me.’ ” See, everyone had asthma from the minority community. That was number one.

Now, the illness du jour is autism. You know what autism is? I’ll tell you what autism is. In 99 percent of the cases, it’s a brat who hasn’t been told to cut the act out. That’s what autism is.

What do you mean they scream and they’re silent? They don’t have a father around to tell them, “Don’t act like a moron. You’ll get nowhere in life. Stop acting like a putz. Straighten up. Act like a man. Don’t sit there crying and screaming, idiot.”

Autism — everybody has an illness. If I behaved like a fool, my father called me a fool. And he said to me, “Don’t behave like a fool.” The worst thing he said — “Don’t behave like a fool. Don’t be anybody’s dummy. Don’t sound like an idiot. Don’t act like a girl. Don’t cry.” That’s what I was raised with. That’s what you should raise your children with. Stop with the sensitivity training. You’re turning your son into a girl, and you’re turning your nation into a nation of losers and beaten men. That’s why we have the politicians we have.

So this mans dad said: “Don’t behave like a fool. Don’t be anybody’s dummy. Don’t sound like an idiot” eh?

Doesn’t sound like the advice sunk in.

Oh and next time someone tells you we don’t need more autism awareness, play them this.

Autism Speaks refuses to talk: 1.5 million autistic people? How do you figure?

12 Jul

Not long ago Michelle Dawson, an autistic adult and autism researcher in Montreal, Canada, wrote that she had tried to get Autism Speaks to explain how they arrrived at their well known number of autistic people in the US (or just autistic children in the US, depending on which of their statements you are reading). She phoned the Autism Speaks offices not too long ago and eventually was handed off to a man named Michael. This apparently was Autism Speaks epidemiology “expert” of sorts, Michael Rosanoff, a young man in a sort of low level position at Autism Speaks and without much training in epidemiology it seems.

You can read some of what transpired in Michelle’s conversation
on her QT board
And on her blog

I like this paragraph in particular from that blog

On the other hand, if Autism Speaks applies their advertised 1 in 150 prevalence figure to the entire US population (which cracked 300 million in 2006), then the result is a total of 2 million autistics in the US, of whom about 500,000 are children and 1.5 million are adults. But this would mean that there has been a high stable rate of autism. This is a scientifically sound position, but one that Autism Speaks and autism advocacy in general has rejected.

jypsy also contacted Autism Speaks through a form on their website and was sent to check out a page on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s website that explained the 1 in 150 number, which was not jypsy’s question. Hers was the same as mine, “How did you get the 1.5 million autistics in the United States number?”. jypsy was told to check back with Autism Speaks if she didn’t get her answer on the CDC website. She checked back with them reiterating that she wanted to know how they got the 1.5 million number and they didn’t respond.

So I emailed Michael Rosanoff (mrosanoff@autismspeaks.org) and the AS general email address (contactus@autismspeaks.org) my question, which is below Mr. Rosanoff’s response here from Monday, July 7, 2008:

Ms. Clark,

Thank you for the e-mail. I will be glad to answer your questions. Would you be available for a brief phone call? If so, please provide me with some dates/times you are available as well as a number at which you can be reached. I look forward to speaking with you.

Best,

Michael

—–Original Message—–
From: [Ms. Clark]
Sent: Friday, July 04, 2008 5:57 PM
To: contactus; Michael Rosanoff
Subject: Question about autism epidemiology

Dear Autism Speaks and Michael Rosanoff,

I am gathering information for an article I want to write about
autism prevalence in the United States. Autism Speaks uses the CDC’s
latest estimate of autism prevalence, that is 1 in 150.

Autism Speaks also uses a figure for the total number of people with
autism in the United States, 1.5 million.

1) Can you show me how you arrived at the 1.5 million number?

2) Which census numbers were you using when you arrived at 1.5 million
and which prevalence numbers were you using?

3) Is it possible that the number of autistic people in the US is
significantly higher that 1.5 million? That is, if you divide the
currently population of the United States by 150 would you arrive at
1.5 million?

4) Can you tell me how you see the 1.5 million breaking down by age
groups, in other words, about how many of the 1.5 million are about
age 3-15 and about how many are 16-21? Also, how many are over 21,
and how many are over 50? If you can break out the ages using
different age groups that would be fine, but basically, how many
youngsters and how many adults?

5) Please indicate if you are using numbers for the whole spectrum:
autistic disorder, pdd-nos and Asperger’s disorder, or if you believe
that a set of numbers only applies to people with “classic autism”.

Thank you very much in advance.

[Ms. Clark]

I sent my question to Mr. Rosanoff on Friday, July 4, and he responded on Monday which was nice and prompt. I answered him on Tuesday saying that he could call me Thursday and gave him a time slot. I then told him if he confirmed that time was good I’d send him my phone number.
He didn’t respond.
Then I found out that it was likely that Mr. Rosanoff would not be responding, that it was likely he was just trying to give the impression that he wanted to respond… since really, he could have responded in the email to me instead of asking if we could talk on the phone. The whole thing about needing to talk on the phone struck me as a little bizarre anyway. Why couldn’t he just answer the questions, he being Autism Speaks epidemiology expert? Shouldn’t he be able to crank out the answers in his sleep? For that matter why isn’t there a page or two on Autism Speaks devoted to explaining how many autistic adults they are trying to serve as the big mondo world encompassing AUTISM (b)org?

So after getting no response about my offered time slot for Michael Rosanoff to call me, I sent Mr. Rosanoff and a few others at the now curiously silent Autism “Speaks” (including to media@autismspeaks.org) semi-cranky email saying this shouldn’t be a so difficult you guys, and asking them just to answer my questions, please, thank you. And I have had no response from any of those I emailed.

So I encourage any of you to also email Autism Speaks or to call them and ask them, how do you get your 1.5 million number. About how many are adults and how many are children? You could also ask them if they have a vague idea of how many of the total have “autistic disorder” and how many have another of the ASDs/PDDs.

If you’d like to send them a letter you could address it to:

Autism Speaks
2 Park Avenue
11th Floor
New York, NY 10016

This is their general phone number (212) 252-8584 and their fax: (212) 252-8676, if you prefer faxing the question. I suppose they answer the phone from 9-5 Monday through Friday, Eastern Time excepting holidays. I encourage all to use your “indoor voice” when calling and be polite as possible.

This is not a trivial question. If Autism Speaks wants to be BIG AUTISM* the borg (We are Autism Speaks. Resistance is futile. You will be assimilated.) of autism organizations then they should be able to give basic facts about the community they are claiming to serve when they are out pounding on people’s emotions to get them to fork over cash to support Autism Speaks.

*”Big Autism” is an apt term that was coined by the blogger Prometheus.

Neurodiversity on show

9 Jul

I think I’ve talked before about how the concept of neurodiversity is – as well as being heavily personal – not necessarily something that most people know actually exists as a defined word. What I mean is, some people do things or hold views that are quite obviously neurodiverse but might never have heard of the word or concept.

Googe Alerts sent me a fantastic blog post this morning which was about a story I’d missed due to personal illness. It seems a young autistic girl had gone to a restaurant with her family and were ejected because the girl had a meltdown and another family refused to pay for their meal until the family of the autistic girl were removed.

Renee, the blog owner, makes it clear how repugnant the attitude of both the restaurant (and this intolerant person who demanded the girls family were ejected) were:

Now I will admit that I don’t know much about autism but I do know enough to realize that those that have it deserve the same respect and dignity as anyone else.

I would _love_ it, if that was everyones starting point. How nice would it be to have that attitude as the prevailing one when it comes to autism (or disability in general)?

Thats Neurodiversity right there folks.

Renee, goes on to detail some very intolerant responses to the reported story. They’re nothing that most of us who are either autistic or parents of autistic people have not heard in one shape or other before:

I don’t care if a child is autistic or what, the child needs behaviour modification. In this case, the child should have been removed from the restaurant by a parent until the child calmed down.

Thats someone who doesn’t get it. Thats someone whos probable priority as far as disability goes is not to respect the persons essential difference but to try and ignore it and make sure it does’t inconvenience them.

Thats what Neurodiversity challenges.

I’ll leave the last word to Renee, along with my thanks:

When we refuse to see people who are living with a form of disability whether it be physical, or mental as worthy of sharing our space we are constructing them as less than. It is in this disharmony of worth and value that ‘othering’ occurs. Our ability to project difference onto others leads to dire consequences for those that are unable to fit into a model of what society has accepted as “normal.” Despite the fact that we are individuals and no true norm exists, socially what we expect is conformity to preconceived ideas of what validates personhood.

Bias, Stigma and Stereotyping and their Effects on Autistic People

8 Jul

One of the presentations I made at the University of San Diego Summer Autism Conference was titled Bias, Stigma and Stereotyping and their effects on Autistic People. In the talk I explained that one tool researchers use study bias is called the Implicit Association Test or IAT . I don’t have extensive knowledge about IATs but I know a little about them because when I was an undergrad at UC Davis (a couple of years ago) I had a volunteer position as a research assistant to a professor who used IATs to study bias, specifically bias against particular ethnic groups.

My job was to interact with the research participants (who were likewise undergraduates), one of my most important duties was to get a signature from each participant on a release form that explained their rights as test subjects. I also had a little memorized statement to tell them about what they they were to do and what they should expect while taking the test (on a computer). Afterward, I was supposed to answer any simple questions that they had and tell them how to contact the professor or a post-doc to answer more complicated questions.

Occasionally the students really wanted to talk about what the material used in the experiment or about how the experiment was designed, and occasionally I had time to talk about it with them. Besides directing them to direct their questions to the researchers, I told them that if they wanted to learn more about the IATs, in general, there was a popular book called Blink, by Malcolm Gladwell, that would give them a little more information. I also told some of them about the Harvard University website called, Project Implicit which is dedicated to sharing information about the Implicit Association Test and is also used to gather data from the (anonymous) people who take the tests online (for free).

The experiment with which I was assisting wasn’t designed didn’t give the “results” of the tests to each individual participant, their data were not “attached” to them as a person with a name, but it was aggregated, more or less, with dozens of other people’s data. But, if you take an IAT on the Project Implicit site, the computer tells you your “results”. Here’s a link to the Project Implicit website:
https://implicit.harvard.edu/implicit/demo/takeatest.html

Near the beginning of this presentation in San Diego I read the following quote:
Every man has reminiscences which he would not tell to everyone but only to his friends. He has other matters which he would not reveal even to his friends but only to himself, and that in secret. But there are other things that a man is afraid to tell, even to himself, and every decent man has a number of such things stored away in his mind. – Fyodor Dostoyevsky
Dostoyevsky was writing about what people know at different levels of consciousness. I would say that he was pointing out that there are things that people believe that they would prefer not to believe, and those things are sometimes subconscious. I got the quote from the Project Implicit website.

If you read the book Blink, you may remember that he explained that everyone has biases and we don’t all like or agree with our biases. We may even have subconscious biases against people of our own group or ethnicity. Those biases might be there because of negative portrayals of people of our own group in the media and in the dominant culture we are surrounded with.

This picture is a sample of a page from one of the IATs on the Project Implicit website. If you saw this particular page during a test you would have been instructed to place the face in the category on the left or the one on the right, and as quickly as possible. Basically, you hit the “e” key on your keyboard if you think the picture or word in the middle if the screen belongs in a category that is listed on the left of the screen, and you hit the “i” key if you think that picture belongs in a category that is found on the right side of the screen.

For this particular IAT photographs of faces of White Americans or Native Americans (all the photos of faces were from late 1800s as far as I could tell). So for this particular page you would probably want to hit the “i” key because this fellow looks like a Native American and that category is on the right side of the page at this point in the test. The photos of faces were interspersed with modern color pictures of places that were located either in America or in a Foreign country. I don’t remember which places they showed, but for instance, a picture of the Eiffel Tower, or the Great Wall of China, might be shown and if you were taking this IAT you’d decide quickly if it was a photo of an “American” place or if it was a “Foreign” place.

Project Implicit offers free access to some journal articles about IATs, as far as I could tell, they don’t have any that touch on bias and autism. But they did have a paper there called: Implicit and Explicit Stigma of Mental Illness: Links to Clinical Care. It’s by Peris et al. It is “in press.” Obviously, keeping in mind that this is not a paper about stigma and autism, but about stigma and mental illness, I think it’s still worthwhile looking at what these researchers found.

In total, 1,539 participants were interviewed online and took an IAT (not unlike what I described above, using a keyboard to categorize words as quickly as possible as belonging to a category shown on the left or right side of the screen. More than half of the participants had studied psychology. This group ranged from undergrads studying psychology up to practicing psychologists. The bulk of the participants were professionals who not only had training in psychology, but presumably lots of experience of being around people with varying sorts of mental illness. They also had a control group of people without psychology training.

If you download the paper you can get the details, but to give you a very brief idea of what they did. The experiment the participants were asked to report what they thought about mentally ill people. Quoting the paper:

Participants rated their attitudes toward “mentally ill people” on a 7- point semantic differential scale (1 = bad to 7 = good). Analogous scales were completed for two other common stereotypes about persons with mental illness: blameworthy/innocent and helpless/competent. Note, the same ratings were also made regarding “people on welfare” to match the relative comparison category used on the IAT measure. In this way, we could more readily evaluate the relationship between the implicit and explicit bias measures.

They took an Implicit Associations Test designed to look for implicit associations or biases that the participants might have that would tend to link mental illness with negative words.The test compared judgments about people with mental illness with judgments about people who are on welfare.

In the first sorting condition, items representing the category Mentally Ill People (e.g., diagnosis, disorder) were categorized with the same response key as items representing the category Good (e.g., wonderful, joyful), while items representing Welfare Recipients (e.g., unemployed, poor) were categorized with the same response key as items representing Bad (e.g., terrible, awful). In the second condition, Mentally Ill People and Bad items were categorized with one response key, and Welfare Recipients and Good items were categorized with the other.

You may have to read the whole paper and perhaps some other background information on IATs to understand how they are designed and scored in order to get the rationale behind the study design.

The participants were also shown clinical vignettes which were “DSM IV based” clinical descriptions of people with problems who could be diagnosed as mental illness. They also looked at one vignette of a person with “general psychological difficulties” that didn’t really fit into any mental illness category.

This study reported the interactions between explicit and implicit biases and “clinical decision making”. Explicit biases are ones that the participants self-reported. Implicit biases were those not stated openly, but were “implicit associations” that were revealed by the IAT.

The were some findings that I thought were possibly applicable to the experience of autistic people being treated or diagnosed in “clinical settings.” The more training a person had in psychology, and presumably the more exposure that person had to people with mental illness, the more positive view they tended to have of mentally ill people. Which is good news. The bad news, which is old news to most people, is that the controls which are meant to represent the average person on the street without particular training in psychology (when compared to those with training) had more explicit and implicit bias against the idea of mentally ill people. Mental illness carries with it a heavy load of stigma. It may seem natural enough for us to fear and stigmatize mental illness, but it’s not so fun for those with mental illness to deal with being treated badly and thought of badly simply because of a label, not necessarily because of anything in particular that they have done.

Back to the study’s findings, even though people with training in psychology tended to have relatively less bias the mentally ill, there was still enough bias among them to measure and make correlations with how they tended to see those in the clinical vignettes. Peris et al found that if a clinician openly expressed a bias against mentally ill people, that he or she would tend to give a worse prognosis for a person whose description he had read. A bad prognosis might look something like, “this person is unlikely to be able to remain employed,” or “this person is likely to harm himself or others.”

On the other hand, if the person openly expressed no bias against mentally ill people, but nonetheless showed a perhaps hidden bias against the mentally ill via the IAT, that person tended to give a better prognosis, however tended to “over pathologize” or add on extra labels, the paper called this, “over-diagnosis”. In over-diagosis the person described in the clinical vignette got additional labels that the writers of the vignettes didn’t intend. For instance, the person in a clinical vignette who had symptoms best fitting a single diagnosis of alcohol dependence might get additional inappropriate labels like, anxiety disorder or major depression.

To quote the paper’s authors: “… the finding of a link between bias and clinical decision-making is striking and suggests that negative views toward mental illness may influence clinical care, even among individuals with considerable mental health training.” Of course, the authors say that the study should be extended to see if the way the psychologists reacted to the clinical vignettes is the same as they would diagnose and give prognoses in their practices.

Coming back to autism, maybe we need the think about whether or not bias against autistic people could likewise influence clinical care of autistic people. It’s well known that parents will work to get clinicians to either give or not give particular autism spectrum diagnoses. A parent of a child with bipolar disorder may prefer that their child be diagnosed with Asperger’s since Asperger’s is still a recognized disorder or disability, but maybe it has a cachet of “genius” that bipolar doesn’t have. And if you are very much involved with autism at all you probably know that people will try to get a kid who generally would be seen as “Asperger’s” to get an “autistic disorder” diagnosis so that the kid can get more services paid for by some entity. And some parents of obviously autism spectrum kids pressure diagnosticians to take the label off their kid because they don’t want the child to be ….uhm… stigmatized. And, unfortunately some parents want to have their efforts at curing their child to be officially recognized as successful, so maybe they’d like to say, “See I gave my kid 5,000 methyl B12 shots and she had 40 rounds of IV chelation and 300 dives in an HBOT tank and it all paid off!” or maybe they’d like to say, “Selling our home and taking on extra jobs and begging money from all our relatives to pay for ABA therapy has left us in tatters financially, but we got our real boy back.” Of course, it is appropriate to re-diagnose autistic kids sometimes. Some do start out looking very autistic and end up looking close to normal, at least some of the time. You can watch a couple of talks by Deborah Fein on the MIND Institute website about this very thing. She points out that kids sometimes move from looking autistic to looking ADHD, perhaps plus OCD, or plus ODD or anxiety… which makes me wonder about how much the clinician’s biases are influencing the desire to rid the kid of a single diagnosis or PDD,nos and replacing it with mulitples like “ADHD plus social anxiety plus depression.” Hmmm?

We know that clinicians sometimes give negative prognoses for very small children, such as, “this two year old child is autistic. He will never marry, never have a job, you might as well lock him up now in an institution and get on with your lives….” and we also know that some autistics have lots of different diagnoses on top of an ASD. We might ponder about why that is, is it because of bias against autistic people and autism in general? We don’t know because, as far as I can tell no one is studying it. Autism clinicians are pretty much all assumed to be blank slates who don’t bring to the table their own biases that influence their ability to judge a situation fairly or accurately. Autistic people are, in my opinion, inherently “irritating” to most folks. We aren’t so ingratiating or charming, we aren’t precisely acting on typical social rules, generally speaking, to say the least. Still if you learn more accurate things about autism as opposed to stigmatizing misinformation such as is commonly found on the Autism Speaks website or from the mercury parent organizations where you may read that autistics destroy families and are walking toxic-waste carrying “train-wrecks,” or you may hear that autistic teens are tsunamis of fiscal devastation, thank you Stephen Shore.  If you learn the true things about autism and autistic people you may actually start to like autistic people. You might think we are pretty fabulous. I think we are pretty fabulous. If you listen to people like me say things like, “autistics are pretty fabulous,” you can actually start to think differently about autism and perhaps change your biases.

I also found three other papers that I thought were interesting, they were referred to in this book chapter on IATs. (Lane, K. A., Banaji, M. R., Nosek, B. A., & Greenwald, A. G. (2007). Understanding and using the Implicit Association Test: IV: Procedures and validity. In B. Wittenbrink & N. Schwarz (Eds.), Implicit measures of attitudes: Procedures and controversies (pp. 59-102). New York: Guilford Press.) You can request this chapter from the project implicit website.  It’s free.

Could similar problems caused by bias against autistic people be affecting autistic people now?

In one study, physicians who held stronger negative stereotypes of African American people were more likely to give them less adequate care after a heart attack. Or you could say, “Belonging to a group your doctor has a bias against can be bad for your health.”

People with a bias against African Americans score lower on a test of intelligence in the presence of an African-American person. Or, if you are in the presence of someone who has a bias against you you can expect them to behave less intelligently.

Stronger implicit stereotyping of members of a group was associated with more negative judgments of ambiguous actions by a member of that ethnic group. Or, if people have a bias against you they will tend to interpret your neutral actions as negative.

What biases or attitudes about the autism spectrum, autistic children and autistic adults might we be hiding from ourselves? Is this important to ask?

Does 'autism' disrupt? And what does it disrupt?

8 Jul

Interesting post in the Seattle Times today. The title is _”Autism disrupts work and pay, article says”_ .

The article in question is a new study from Pediatrics:

<blockquote>An emerging body of work is showing the impact an autism diagnosis has on a family….<blockquote>….families with a child with ASD were 7 times more likely to report that child care problems affected employment than comparable families with typically developing children. These accommodations probably result in lower household income.</blockquote></blockquote>

Now, I’ll be upfront and say that I know those circumstances to be true. A combination of my own diagnosis (of manic depression) and my child’s diagnosis of severe autism with associated learning difficulties has made things very difficult at times. It is a simple truth that I cannot progress in my chosen career (I am a web developer) much past the stage I am at now because doing so means committing myself  (excuse the pun) to a schedule of work I cannot possibly meet, given our home circumstances. A lot of my professional friends and colleagues who are about my age and are of a similar skill level to me are now either owning their own companies or heading up teams of designers.

But…is it right to say that autism is the disrupting influence? Obviously In my own life there are my own personal medical issues but even so, I do not think it is right to say that it is _this_ which is the disruptive influence.

It is a simple truth that much more is expected of workers of this generation. People of my parents age never had the work pressures we do now. Employees are expected to work ‘above and beyond’ if they want to progress. To work hours beyond – way beyond – their contracted hours, to never be ill, to keep holidays to a time that is non disruptive to the employer. We in the West have started to live to work rather than working to live.

For a family with a special needs child (of any age) it is simply not realistic that they can meet this expectation. And so we _do_ need to expect a less financially comfortable life.

But what is the disrupting influence? Is it autism? Is it manic depression? Is it Down’s Syndrome? Is it Cerebral Palsy? Is it any other physical or mental difference?

Or is it the demands of a society that is putting less and less stock on the family and more on work?

Vaccine Court Judicial Conference: Panel Discussion Cancelled

3 Jul

Every year the Court of Federal Claims holds a “Judicial Conference”. The point seems to be a good one: get the Special Masters (Judges) and the lawyers together to discuss the system. The Vaccine court is essentially non-adversarial and it is a pretty small community.

As noted in a letter from the Chief Special Master discussing this year’s Judicial Conference:

I believe wholeheartedly that the Bench and Bar must communicate periodically to improve the system of justice. I believe this Conference program – the panel discussions of general vaccine policy issues and of the information underpinning vaccine compensation decisions – can provide that important dialogue.

Sounds great. Let’s face it, the community of professionals involved is fairly small: a few Special Masters, a few law firms. The purpose of the Vaccine Act was to make a non-adversarial program. They should take advantage of that to make the system work as well as possible for the people.

This year’s Conference was going to be different: amongst other events, they were going to hold a couple of panel discussions.

The first panel is tentatively titled “Vaccines: Balancing Benefits with Parental Concerns (the autism issue?).” It will be moderated by Sharyl Attkisson, a reporter with CBS Evening News. The panelists will be Arthur Allen, author of “Vaccines”; David Kirby, author of “Evidence of Harm”; Dr. Ed Marcuse, Professor of Pediatrics at the University of Washington, who has served as a member and Chair of HHS’ National Vaccine Advisory Committee, and as a member of CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices; and, Dr. Bernadine Healy, Health Editor, TJS News and World Report and former Director of the National Institutes of Health. There is no doubt that this discussion will be lively and informative.

Yep, that’s what David Kirby has been talking about, to the point of adding it to his bio for his recent speaking engagements.

Well, the word on the street is that this first panel has been can canceled. There are no public details of why. I would not expect to hear the details of “why”. That leaves the field open for people to interpret as they will. We see way too much of that in the autism community, so I’ll try to stick to my own predictions and my own view of the panelists.

I can already imagine the posts to the yahoo EOHarm group and other places. I hope to be pleasantly surprised, but I suspect to hear talk about how the subject was “too controversial” and how “controversial reporters” are being kept from talking.

I don’t know why this panel was canceled. I do know that I would not have wanted to participate. It doesn’t have anything to do with the fact that there would be people, perhaps a majority, on the panel whose opinions I disagree with. I agree that discussion is important, and I think getting the right message out is vital. But I wouldn’t want to share the panel with people it has to do with the methods used by some of the people on the panel.

So far, I have found Dr. Healy’s comments to be without substance. Notice that I didn’t say without merit, but without substance. I’ve heard vague statements about how people were “scared” to look for susceptibility groups. I’ve heard about how the vaccine question was put to rest “too soon”. Nothing that really backs those statements up; they stand as opinions. Nothing about the actual science that exists–especially about the lack of quality of the science that purports to support the vaccine-causality question. I’ve heard opinions, but not facts. I see someone who has made a minor media splash, but not someone with autism credibility.

I honestly don’t know why she was on the panel.

My major issue with the panel would have been the fact that it included Mr. Kirby. While someone like Dr. Marcuse could be said to be lending their credibility to the panel, Mr. Kirby would be using the panel to enhance his own credibility.

Why should David Kirby be be allowed to represent himself as an expert (on similar footing as, say, Dr. Marcuse?) and add to his credibility by being on this panel at all? David Kirby is certainly no expert. He has a book riddled with errors. He has blog post after blog post demonstrating his lack of scientific acumen. The one thing he would bring to the table would be his information about Hannah Poling. In that he is an expert, but only because he is the only one given the information. I don’t see how his, well, interesting interpretations would be of benefit to the members of the Court.

But, being wrong is the smaller issue. If you aren’t wrong sometimes, you aren’t pushing the envelope. I am certainly wrong at times, as has been demonstrated on this blog quite recently.

But when I am wrong, I am wrong in my quest to figure things out. If I am correct, it is in the quest to figure things out. It isn’t about me. but asking and, hopefully sometimes, answering questions about autism. (OK, and sometimes venting a little). One thing you will never hear from me: “This isn’t my crusade“. If I am wrong about vaccines, I can’t walk away. If I am demonstrably wrong about vaccines and autism, you’ll see me fighting hard on the other side. Autism isn’t something I can leave behind if a new book deal comes through. If someone leaks a Court document to me, it won’t be a boost to my career. And this doesn’t even touch on blog post after blog post misusing the CDDS data to create the image of an epidemic or little hints of “bombshells” which may or may not materialize. Again, being wrong isn’t the point. Being wrong in search of self promotion, that I have issues with.

If I could, I would give a gold star to Arthur Allen for agreeing to be on this panel. Not because I agree with him, but because it was obviously going to be a painful experience based on the makeup of the panel. Maybe I haven’t been watching closely, but the only times I’ve seen his name mentioned as a panelist for this Judicial Conference has been in David Kirby’s announcements.

I would give a great big gold (heck, platinum-iridium) star to Dr. Marcuse for even considering being on the panel. Of the entire panel, he’s the one person with real credentials in the field of vaccines.

If I were Dr. Marcuse or Arthur Allen, I would have considered seriously pulling out of this panel discussion once the details became known.

This panel discussion was only a fraction of the Judicial Conference. The rest is, as far as I can tell, still going to happen. For example, the second vaccine panel discussion appears to be still “on”:

The second panel will utilize some of the information from the first discussion and apply it when discussing the effects of decisions under the Vaccine Compensation Program. The title for the second panel is “Vaccine Compensation Under the Act: A Mix of Science and Policy?” This panel will be moderated by Senior Judge Loren A. Smith, who was the Chief Judge when the Vaccine Program first began at the court in 1988. The panelists will be Kevin Conway, a petitioners’ counsel since the Program’s inception; Randolph Moss, a partner at WilmerHale and co-chair of the firms’ Government and Regulatory Litigation Group, who represents vaccine manufacturers; Dr. Paul Offit, the Chief of Infectious Diseases at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, a professor of pediatrics at the University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, and the co-inventor of the rotavirus vaccine, RotaTeq; Marguerite Wilner, former Vice-Chair of the Advisory Commission on Childhood Vaccines; and Ruth J. Katz, Dean of the School of Public Health at The George Washington University. Previously, Dean Katz served as counsel to the Subcommittee on Health and the Environment in the U.S. House of Representative (then chaired by Congressman Henry A. Waxman), where she helped develop the National Vaccine Act. With these different perspectives, this promises to be an interesting discussion! ! ! !

That does sound like an interesting discussion. How does the Court does mix science and policy? How should they balance the two? Those seem likekey questions.

And there is another panel on ethics involving expert witnesses:

In addition to these two “must see” vaccine discussions, this year’s Conference offers an Ethics panel that vaccine practitioners will find quite meaningful. Judge Mary Ellen Coster Williams will moderate a discussion regarding ethical issues involving expert witnesses. The panel will include Special Master Denise Vowel1 and a law professor, Joseph Sanders from the University of Houston. With the extensive involvement of experts in vaccine litigation, this panel discussion should provide important information and considerations to all vaccine practitioners.

I hope it is a very productive Conference for the Court. It already seems to likely to be one of the more memorable Conferences, and it hasn’t even happened yet.

Autism Hub at USD and on NPR

25 Jun

Under the care of Dave Seidel and HollywoodJaded, the Autism Hub has gone from strength to strength. They are to be massively congratulated for all that the Hub has become.

However, two other people have driven the Hub into new areas this past year. These two people have demonstrated both singly and jointly exactly the ethos I hoped the Hub would have. Parents and autistic people speaking together.

One of the key areas Steve and Bev have worked in is getting the Hub to an academic audience and a public audience. Steve has worked tirelessly to arrange not one, but two Autism Hub based presentations to an academic audience. I’ve blogged it already but the University of San Diego is currently holding a conference at which Autism Hub bloggers are taking a large part.

Autism Hub at USD

Also on this issue, Steve and Bev appeared on National Public Radio station KPBS show ‘These Days’ to talk about the USD conference and the Autism Hub.

You can listen to the show in MP3 format. Bev and Steve do a fantastic job and it was great to hear the personification of the main idea behind the Hub (that of autistic person and parent to autistic people speaking together).

I wanted to offer a hearttfelt thank you to Steve and Bev for doing all that they have. It really does matter and it really is important. Thank you.

Is the Prevalence of Low Functioning Autism Among the Amish Actually Lower Than Expected?

2 Jun

Note: For purposes of this post, the term ‘low functioning autism’ will refer to autism that co-occurs with mental retardation, or an IQ evaluated at less than 70. The validity of this accepted nomenclature is not the topic of this post.

Summary

The prevalence of low functioning autism among 2-9 year-old Amish children in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, has a lower bound of 14.2 in 10,000. This is in line with the prevalence of reported autism with mental retardation in the California DDS system (at most 13.1 in 10,000) for the same age cohort. Additionally, it is not too far away from the prevalence of low functioning autism as ascertained by more methodologically rigorous epidemiological studies.

While no assertion can be made about the prevalence of high functioning autism among the Amish, the existence of an “Amish anomaly” is unsupported and appears increasingly unlikely.

Background

Dan Olmsted had written a well-known series of articles where he claimed (1) that Amish children are never vaccinated [source] or that only a small percentage are [source], and (2) that the Amish either don’t have autism or that autism is exceedingly rare among the Amish.

These claims were subsequently scrutinized by Prometheus, Autism News Beat and Lisa Jo Rudy. They investigated the matter and found that both claims are most likely mistaken. Autistic children do exist among the Amish, and the Amish do indeed vaccinate. The Amish of Illinois appear to vaccinate at a rate of 90%. Lisa Jo Rudy’s source provided a figure of 70% for the Amish in Lancaster County.

Apologetic responses by Dan Olmsted and Mark Blaxill (PartI and Part II) followed. The gist of the responses is that Dan Olmsted was not actually negligent in his reporting. Olmsted claims he did attempt to contact The Clinic For Special Children without much success. Additionally, Olmsted and Blaxill claim that while the Amish do vaccinate, they do so at a lower rate than that of surrounding communities, and therefore, they argue, the finding of an “Amish anomaly” is still relevant to the hypothesis that vaccination is an autism risk factor. (The responses also appear to indicate that those who scrutinize Olmsted’s reporting are “wackos” and say “some stupid things” — I’m guessing this was done to discourage further criticism).

Notwithstanding these responses, it is clear that the credibility of Olmsted’s reporting suffered a substantial blow. Take, for example, one of his most popular findings: That the few autistic children he came across happened to be ones who were vaccinated. This finding is rendered completely inconsequential by the mere fact that most Amish children are vaccinated at least once.

What I really want to address in this post, nevertheless, is the persistent claim that autism is exceedingly rare among the Amish, with a focus on low functioning autism.

Why low functioning?

Dan Olmsted was not likely looking for high functioning children, and even if he was, it is improbable he had the means to properly ascertain the prevalence of high functioning autism. The expertise required for such an endeavor is non-trivial. A methodology that consists of “asking around” is not likely to produce an accurate result.

Furthermore, Dr. Strauss of The Clinic For Special Children had told Autism News Beat that they do not screen for ASDs, nor do they see high functioning autistic children at their clinic.

Strauss says he doesn’t see “idiopathic autism” at the clinic – children with average or above average IQs who display autistic behavior. “My personal experience is we don’t see a lot of Amish children with idiopathic autism. It doesn’t mean they don’t exist, only that we aren’t seeing them at the clinic.”

Strauss says a child in the general population is more likely to have autism detected early and to receive a diagnosis than an Amish child. “An Amish child may not be referred to an MD or psychologist because the child is managed in the community, where they have special teachers,” he says. “We know autism when we see it, but we don’t go actively into the Amish community and screen for ASD.”

[source]

With all due respect to Dr. Strauss, I think a clarification is in order before we proceed. I believe he mixed up terminology in his statement to ANB. Idiopathic autism simply means that no cause has been determined for a particular child’s autism. There may or may not be mental retardation in idiopathic autism. The same is true of non-idiopathic autism.

It seems plausible that The Clinic For Special Children generally only sees autistic children who are low functioning. The important thing is that this is the case of the children in a study we will discuss shortly.

Another important clarification is that when I talk about low functioning autism I am not referring to Autistic Disorder vs. “full syndrome autism” vs. PDD-NOS vs. Asperger’s Syndrome. This appears to be a common point of confusion. There may or may not be mental retardation in Autistic Disorder. It is not a requirement in the diagnosis.

Minimum Prevalence Calculation

I am not going to count autistic children Dan Olmsted claims to have found. This is because it is unclear how many exactly he found where, given his reporting methodology, nor is it clear what the characteristics of the children are. Furthermore, I personally don’t consider his reporting reliable.

Thankfully, there is a peer-reviewed study we can use: Strauss et al. (2006). This is a study of Old Order Amish children from Lancaster County. In Table 1 of the paper we see they look at 9 patients, ages 2 to 9, 100% of whom have mental retardation, and 67% of whom have pervasive developmental delay or autism. In other words, this study identifies 6 low functioning autistic children. Let’s consider this the minimum number of autistic children, ages 2 to 9, among the Amish of Lancaster County. At this point we just don’t know if The Clinic For Special Children has come across other low functioning autistic children.

Also of note is that the children “had no distinguishing physical features, and growth trajectories were normal, although all patients had relatively large heads and diminished or absent deep-tendon reflexes.” This tells me that there was nothing noticeably odd about these autistic children that would lead someone to believe they are different to non-Amish autistic children. The fact that a genetic etiology was determined in these cases by top geneticists is of no consequence to a prevalence calculation in my view.

The Amish population of Lancaster County is about 25,200 (Raber’s 2004 Almanac via this web page). Their life expectancy is similar to that of the US general population. However, they have high population growth, with their population doubling every 20 years. This is similar to population doubling in India, which I will use as a reference to calculate the number of 2 to 9 year olds among the Pennsylvania Amish. According to the CIA World Factbook, 31.5% of the Indian population is 0 to 14 years of age. Extrapolating from this, I will estimate that 16.8% of the Lancaster County Amish are 2 to 9. In other words, there are 4,234 such children.

Since we know there are at least 6 low functioning autistic children in this community, the absolute minimum prevalence of low functioning autism for the cohort is 14.17 in 10,000.

California Comparison

No methodologically sound exhaustive autism screening has been carried out in the Amish population. We only know about cases that have been reported. This is why I thought a comparison with California reporting would be fair. It may not be precise, since the ascertainment methodologies are not the same, but I don’t believe it can be called an unfair comparison. Further, I do not believe the well known limitations of California DDS data make the comparison unfair either.

As of December 2007, there are a total of 17,029 children 2 to 9 in California classified as autistic and who have sought DDS services [source]. Most of them do not have mental retardation. We don’t know exactly how many have mental retardation, but we can determine a ceiling on that. For this, I counted how many autistics total have mental retardation, plus – to be fair – how many have “unknown” mental retardation status. This came to 32.67% of all autistics in the system. Since this proportion is known to have dropped considerably as more young children have been diagnosed in recent times, it follows that 32.67% is an upper bound percentage when it comes to children. In other words, there should be at most 5,564 known low functioning autistic 2-9 year olds in the California system.

Since the 2-9 population of California is 4,248,774 (2006), the prevalence of reported low functioning autism for the cohort is at most 13.1 in 10,000.
Comparison to Epidemiology

I often discuss how the prevalence of already recognized autism, and the prevalence of screened autism (or true prevalence) are two very different things. In particular, when autism is thoroughly screened in populations with intellectual disabilities, a lot of autism which wasn’t previously thought to be there is suddenly found (e.g. Shah et al. 1982; La Malfa et al. 2004; Matson et al. 2007).

Epidemiological studies are not necessarily perfect in this regard, but their methodology goes considerably beyond any work currently available as far as the Amish population is concerned. Let’s take Yeargin-Allsopp et al. (2003), for example.

Cases were identified through screening and abstracting records at multiple medical and educational sources, with case status determined by expert review.

The prevalence of low functioning autism from this Atlanta study was 23.12 in 10,000.

There are two UK studies by Chakrabarti & Fombonne (2001; 2005) ascertaining the 4-6 prevalence of PDD. The derived prevalences of PDD with mental retardation from these studies are 16.15 and 17.5 in 10,000, respectively.

Finally, we have a Chinese study, Zhang & Ji (2001), with a finding of 11 in 10,000 autistic children, all of whom were “intellectually disabled.”

Autism Conference and Autism Science

29 May

First of all, I want to let people know that the second USD Autism Conference involving Autism Hub members Has been announced.

There is a Facebook Event to allow the Autism Hub Facebook Group to disseminate information about the conference.

This is, once again, due to the tireless work of Steve. Thanks are due to him.

Secondly, an interesting piece of new science has been announced:

A Long Island researcher has pinpointed for the first time brain regions in children with autism linked to “ritualistic repetitive behavior,” the insatiable desire to rock back and forth for hours or tirelessly march in place.

…..

In children with autism, Shafritz found deficits in specific regions of the cerebral cortex, the outer layer of gray matter linked to all higher human functions, including repetitive behavior. He also mapped deficits in the basal ganglia, a region deep below the cerebral hemispheres.

So this would seem to be yet another area of autistic behaviour that has been ‘reclaimed’ from the anti-vaccine people who claim that the repetitive behaviours were a symptom of mercury poisoning. This is, of course, all to the good as it means that accuracy has replaced supposition.