One of the recurring themes in the vaccines-cause-autism discussion is the concept that if we were to go back to the vaccine schedule of 1983, the autism rate would drop to 1 in 10,000.
This, of course, is pushed hard by Generation Rescue and Jenny McCarthy. GR even took out ads in USA Today to promote this idea.
Before taking a look at the 1983 vaccine schedule, I have to offer Generation Rescue a few corrections to their advertisement.
1) There is no “mandatory” CDC schedule. Sorry, the CDC has a “recommended” schedule. States work from that to create their own schedules. Since in almost every state one can opt-out with a simple form, even the state schedules aren’t really “mandatory”.
2) Rotavirus isn’t “mandatory” even on the state level. Perhaps GR could show me which state has the Rotavirus vaccine as part of their schedule, but I haven’t been able to find one.
That said, GR would like us all to go back to the 1983 schedule. Really? Did they think this trough? I don’t think so.
Take a look at the 1983 schedule that GR list in their ad. Two vaccines pop up to me right away–DTP and OPV.
Consider first the DTP. I thought there were good safety reasons to move from DTP (with the whole-cell pertussis vaccine) to the DTaP (acellular pertussis) vaccine. Is it OK to have more vaccine injuries in their flawed experiment to try to reduce the autism rate? That would appear to follow from GR’s suggestion to “turn back the clock”. Do they really want to go back to DTP?
In the 1983 schedule, kids got the OPV–oral polio vaccine (live/attenuated virus). Today, kids get the IPV–inactivated polio vaccine. OPV is used in places where people are trying to eradicate polio, since the OPV viruses can be shed in the stool. This leads to non-immunized people being protected as well, but may have a small risk of infecting others with paralytical polio. We could spend more time discussing this, but let’s just say that there are really good reasons to move from OPV to IPV.
For those two reasons alone, the idea of “turning back the clock” appears to be the result of very simplistic logic by people who didn’t spend 5 minutes considering their own proposal.
In addition to changing some vaccines (e.g. DTP–>DTaP), the schedule added vaccines. What are the “new” vaccines that Generation Rescue seems to be objecting to? Let’s go through them one by one. Let’s ask the question Arthur Allen posed to Jim Carrey at the Green Our Vaccines rally: which one(s) would they leave out?
Hepatitis B. This is such a common target that Dr. Bernadine Healy singled it out recently.
However, only 5% of newborns that acquire the infection from their mother at birth will clear the infection. This population has a 40% lifetime risk of death from cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma. Of those infected between the age of one to six, 70% will clear the infection.
Wow. 40% lifetime risk of death if a newborn catches HepB. How about the fact that 30% of children in the age 1 to 6 age range will not clear the HepB infection? Yep, they get a life-long, chronic condition that will kill a large fraction of them. Oh, you did notice that kids age 1-6 do catch HepB, right? So much for the “They aren’t at risk, why vaccinate them” nonsense.
Hib–Haemophilus influenzae type b. Otherwise known as Bacterial Meningitis. What’s that like?
Hib meningitis is fatal in about 5% of patients and causes brain damage in 10-30% of survivors.
And, for those who claim vaccines don’t work, EpiWonk (in his real life) showed clearly that Hib does work.
PCV–pneumococcal conjugate vaccine Prevents infection with Streptococcus pneumoniae. It causes 200 deaths a year amongst children under 5, it causes brain damage, deafness, and pneumonia. But, according to GR, we can do without preventing that.
Rotavirus. The Rotavirus vaccine is a constant target for groups like Generation Rescue. This is due in no small part to the fact that Paul Offit, an outspoken critic of the vaccines-cause-autism hypothesis, is a co-inventor of the vaccine in current use.
Again, from Wikipedia:
In the United States, rotavirus causes about 2.7 million cases of severe gastroenteritis in children, almost 60,000 hospitalisations, and around 37 deaths each year
My guess is that this would be particularly nasty for a child with a mitochondrial dysfunction. Just something to consider.
Hepatitis A. I find it odd that the Hep-B vaccine gets so much attention and Hep-A is all but ignored by vaccine critics. Hepatitis A appears to be a much less serious disease, where death or chronic infection are uncommon.
Influenza. This is a favorite vaccine for Generation Rescue to complain about. One big reason: flu vaccines often still contain thimerosal. Groups like Generation Rescue tend to ignore the fact that flu shot uptake is low. Otherwise, they would have to admit that the thimerosal exposure from vaccines is way lower than a few years ago–with no change in the “epidemic”. Note that of the 36 vaccines that Generation Rescue claims the CDC “mandates”, seven of them are influenza. Other than New Jersey, does any state require flu shots? More to the point, at the time that Generation Rescue put out their print ad, did any state require Flu shots?
As an aside, from NJ state law:
A student shall be exempted from mandatory immunization if the student objects thereto in a written statement submitted to the institution, signed by the student, explaining how the administration of immunizing agents conflicts with the student’s religious beliefs.
Yeah, that’s for older kids, but you get the idea. “Mandated” vaccines are “mandated” unless you don’t want them.
Varicella. This is “chicken pox”. This is often scoffed at by vaccine rejectionists because, after all, we all know it is basically harmless. Right? Well, while generally mild, some people do suffer severe effects or die from Chickenpox.
Generation Rescue would like to “turn back the clock”. Take us back to the simpler times of 1983. A simple time when people died from diseases we can now prevent. But, this is all to prevent autism, so it’s a good idea, right? Well, we saw how “turning back the clock” on thimerosal exposure worked in reducing autism…it didn’t. That doesn’t prove that changing the vaccine schedule won’t have an effect. It does prove that Generation Rescue uses faulty logic and, worse, doesn’t own their mistakes.
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